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@RISK 5.7 for Excel中文版-定量风险评估软件
@RISK 7.6 for Excel-定量风险评估软件


 

 

 

 

 
  RiskyProject 专业版-高级项目风险管理和工期风险分析软件

RiskyProject 7专业版

项目经理能够使用RiskyProject来规划,调度,定量和定性风险分析,使用多风险和不确定性进行项目绩效评估。

  • 项目风险评估
  • 风险登记表(risk register)
  • 风险排序
  • 自定义风险矩阵
  • 风险应对和缓解计划
  • 风险缓解瀑布图
  • 蒙特卡洛进度表风险分析
  • 可以单机或作为Microsoft Project插件运行
  • 集成Primavera和其它项目管理软件
  • 多个统计分布
  • 替换Risk+
  • 详尽的定量分析和报告
  • 跟踪风险和不确定性

无缝集成到Microsoft® Project

RiskyProject专业版无缝集成到Microsoft® Project:

RiskyProject特征

项目调度

集成Microsoft® Project 和 Oracle® Primavera®

RiskyProject围绕自己的进度表系统构建。您能够定义任务参数,以及它们之间的关系,约束,资源和成本,而无需使用Microsoft® Project, Oracle Primavera,或任何其它的进度表软件。

然而,如果您已经是Project, Oracle Primavera或其它项目管理软件的用户,您能够无缝打开由这些应用创建的项目,并对已有数据分配不确定性到任务和项目。

Risk Register

A risk register is a set of all risks and issues in the project. Issues are risks that have occurred and therefore are having an actual affect on your project. You can easily convert risks to issues. You can open and close risks. Risks in the risk register may have different properties (owner, recorder, contact, date recorded, date converted to issue, location, etc.). You may customize any properties for all projects.

Risks and issue can be assigned to different tasks and resources or be global. For example, you could assign the risk "Budgetary problem" to all tasks that this risk could affect. Each risk assignment will have different probabilities and outcomes. For example, "Budgetary problems" assigned to task "Project elaboration" will have chance of occurrence 30% and outcome "Restart task".

After calculation, the risk register will present calculated risk impact, probability and score before and after mitigation.

In addition to the risk register, uncertainties in the RiskyProject can be represented using statistical distributions.

Assigning Risks to Tasks and Resources

Setting up your project for risk analysis has never been easier. RiskyProject's interface is designed to allow you to quickly add and edit your project risks. To assign risk to tasks you may use risk register, global and local risk views, assign them separately for each task or resource.

RiskyProject's Risk Drag-n-Drop is the preferred method for assigning risks to complex projects as it allows you to quickly assign risks to multiple tasks or resources.

Result Gantt Chart – Risk Adjusted Project Schedule

The results of your project risk analysis are shown on the Results Gantt chart. You will see the ranges for start and finish times of each task, and be able to compare them with baseline or original project schedule.

The RiskyProject scheduling engine is designed and optimized for risk analysis. Probabilistic calculations with multiple simulations are performed quickly: on small projects, the calculations are instantaneous. This is important, for as new information about the project performance becomes available, you can quickly reanalyze the project as often as required.

Risks and issues can be shown on the Gantt chart as arrows. The calculated impact of a risk is color-coded. For threats green = low, yellow = medium, and red = high. For opportunities, colors are opposite. The size of the arrow represents the risk probability. Click on an arrow to view information about the particular risk.

Probabilistic Cost Analysis

RiskyProject performs probabilistic cash flow analysis based on original project schedule and project schedule with risks and uncertainties (results of analysis). RiskyProject allows you to specify or calculate actual cost for each task. Actual cost, budgeted cost, and cost as a result of analysis (with risks and uncertainties) are displayed using interactive cash flow diagrams. You can determine difference between actual and budgeted cost on the each stage of the project.

You can also view a project cash flow. The Cash flow analysis view shows monthly, bi-monthly, quarterly, and yearly cost and income allocation. You can also apply Net Present Value (NPV) discount rates and internal rate of return (IRR). The Cash flow view includes cost and income data in both table and chart format for the current schedule, results of analysis, and actuals.

Product Lifecycle Management – Probabilistic Cash Flow Analysis

In addition to cost analysis RiskyProject includes income and revenue analysis with risks and uncertainties. You may perform risk analysis related to both product development and product sales. RiskyProject has separate sets of risks related to income, such as Fixed Income Increase and Relative Income Increase.

Results of Monte Carlo Simulation

Just double-click on each bar within the Gantt chart to view histograms for duration, start and finish times, and cost, associated with the particular task.

Tracking Projects

Because real-life data is sometimes the only way to assess your uncertainties correctly, tracking is one of the most important components of RiskyProject. To track a task, you enter the percentage of the task done on the particular date. RiskyProject then calculates the projected task duration and updates the risk profile of the task. The project schedule is recalculated to give you a more accurate estimate of total cost, project finish time, and duration. These new results are then presented in the Tracking Gantt Chart.

Task Deadlines

RiskyProject allows you setup project deadlines for tasks and projects and assign different actions to them. For example, tasks or projects can be canceled if the task or the project reaches the deadline. In this case, the success rate of the project or task (chance the project or task will be completed) is reduced.

Probabilistic Calendar

You can now model weather and other calendar related event's using probabilistic calendars. If your project has a 30% chance of running an inclement weather schedule, you can create this calendar with reduced hours of operation and run it 30% of the time during the project to model this calendar risk.

Sensitivity Analysis (Tornado Diagram)

Sensitivity Analysis shows you the input parameters (task duration, start and finish time, success rate, etc.) that have the most affect on project parameters (total project cost, total duration, project finish time, and success rate). Sensitivity analysis allows you to identify critical risks, which have the potential of significantly affecting your project. These critical risks should be the key focus of your risk mitigation efforts. The results of sensitivity analysis are presented in sensitivity charts.

Crucial Tasks

Crucial Tasks are those tasks, according to the sensitivity analysis, whose duration has the most affect on a project's duration and finish time are crucial tasks. Uncertainties related to critical tasks should be assessed and the risks associated with these tasks should be mitigated. Crucial tasks are displayed on the Gantt chart using distinct colors.

Success Rate Gantt

Risks and deadlines can affect task success rates. You can quickly identify tasks with that fall within specific success rates by assigning different colors to ranges of success rates. For example, those tasks whose success rate falls between 0 and 10% could be assigned the red color.

Project Summary and Project Dashboard 3×3

The Project Summary view shows the main information about project: total cost or revenue (if income is defined), finish time, duration, and success rate for both deterministic and probabilistic calculations.

Project Dashboard 3×3 is an easy way to view results of analysis: three main project parameters (cost, duration, finish time) with and without risk; three most crucial tasks, three most critical risks.

Reporting Tools

RiskyProject comes with powerful reporting tools. You can output the project schedule from each step of the workflow. RiskyProject's customizable Task Sheet and Result Task Sheet allow you to see task information in table format. The results can be printed, exported to the clipboard in graphic and text format, or exported to as a JPEG file. This is particularly useful if you want to publish results of your analysis to the web.

Risk Templates

Risk templates are standard sets of risks that allow you to quickly and simplify add risks to tasks and projects. A number of templates are included to RiskyProject package. In addition, it is easy to create your own templates, which you can use for your own projects.

Managing Mitigations Using Multiples Baselines

RiskyProject supports multiple baselines. You can save the current schedule or the calculated results as a baseline. A baseline is a deterministic project schedule, which you can use to:

  • Track project performance against the baseline
  • Analyze different project scenarios
  • Perform mitigation analysis

For example, if you want to understand effect of mitigation efforts for a group of risks on project cost. To compare pre and post mitigation schedules, you perform an analysis without mitigation efforts and save the results as a baseline. Next, apply mitigation efforts, this can require additional tasks and costs and reduces the probability or impact of the risk in the current schedule. Finally, perform a cost comparison between the pre and post mitigation baselines.

Managing Mitigation and Response Plans

You can define mitigation plans using the Mitigation view. Mitigation plan can be execute when risk is occurred. RiskyProject will count, how many times the mitigation plan is executed. The diagram, which shows how often the mitigation plan is executed, will be displayed within a mitigation view. One mitigation plan will be executed only once per task even multiple risks occur.

Risk Chart

Risk chart shows risks associated with tasks versus task duration or task cost. The risk is expressed as task standard deviation of task duration or cost, maximum, minimum values, ranges, or different percentiles (P10, P90, etc.). In a well-balanced project schedules, different tasks usually have similar level of risks. However, if the risk associated with a task is higher than for other tasks with similar duration or cost, these risks should be carefully analyzed and possibly mitigated. Alternatively, if a task does not have significant risks and uncertainties compared with other similar tasks, it may make sense to analyze the task uncertainties to see if they have been represented properly.

Probabilistic Branching

Conditional Branching (If-Then-Else analysis)

Probabilistic branching allows the project to branch from one task to another task or group of tasks as part of the simulation process. For example, depending on results of project elaboration, there is a 40% chance that one project alternative will be selected and a 60% chance that another project alternative will be selected

Conditional branching allows the project to branch from one task to another task based on certain conditions. For example, if a feature development task takes longer than 2 weeks, this may be require shorter development time for other features. Conditions related to task duration, finish time, and cost can be specified for each task that has successors. RiskyProject checks these if then conditions during simulations.

Correlations of risk events

Different risks can coincide with each other. For example, bad weather conditions correlates with the delayed delivery of the goods. For each risk you can specify correlated risks or risks that may occur with a specific risk. See Online Documentation for more information.

Optimistic and Pessimistic Project Schedule

Optimistic (low) and pessimistic (high) project schedule can be displayed separately on Result Gantt chart. It gives you an opportunity to analyze different project scenarios.

Multiple Statistical Distributions

In addition to the Risk Register uncertainties in the RiskyProject can be represented using statistical distributions. Using RiskyProject's intuitive interface, you can define ranges for the following task parameters: duration, start time, cost, and lag between task successor and predecessor.

 

 

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